"- Not gathering the data and making the models needed to understand the phenomena they talk about, and to enumerate and build a probability distribution over possible futures. Maybe this falls outside their mission."
Are you aware of the Uncertain Future project? (http://www.singinst.org/blog/2009/12/12/the-uncertain-future/)
Re: obviousness of possible failure modes
Date: 2010-05-15 08:22 am (UTC)Are you aware of the Uncertain Future project? (http://www.singinst.org/blog/2009/12/12/the-uncertain-future/)